Townsville Racing Preview and Tips 27/5/21
Today we preview Cluden Park in Townsville. It looks a pretty tough day with big fields and a lot will come down to luck in running.
The 4 hard to beat but every hope last start and the start prior. Hard to keep buttering up. 9 was good last start and improve again here.
The 3 looks really well placed with the claim and drops back in grade. I had a slight query the mile but did lead a pretty hot tempo last start and gets it a bit softer here. 5 had some nice closing splits last start off a slow speed but does map poorly, a worry. 3 on top but 5 be strong late and with any luck can win also.
Three hopes I thought. 3 leads with 1-4-5 all going forward. If they can ride the 2 more forward today from the good draw he’ll be strong late. No knock on the 1 at all, nice filly and she can win just a tricky draw. 3 has plenty of upside and will improve again and could pinch it out in front, but not sure he beat much last start. I thought the 2 worth a throw each way at the price, winner comes from 1-2-3
Heap of chances. Maps pretty messy, plenty of speed on. If 7 is screwed down it could set up nice for him. 4 was good in a good race and that forms been franked, from a good alley hard fit and rolls forward my only query with it was has a tendency to over race. 1 goes good will roll forward and take some catching. I thought the 8 was over the odds and will be strong late, but few hopes in this stick with the 7ew 1-4-8 next all hopes
Extremely tough I thought !!
3 was good last start when the wrong part of the track. Gets to the outside it goes close. 1’s the best horse but 64.5 ?? Been carrying big weights through this prep now, but does get a jock upgrade. 6 the horse to beat but bad alley. 9 was stiff last start but this harder. Any luck the fav wins but thought the 3 ew maps better
Maps terrible again. 12 was stiff last start sat 3 deep. Hard fit and back to the 1400 today. 11 looks progressive and back to 1200 suits but yet to do it against the older horses. 3 the knockout ew but gets back. Very small ew bet the 12 but will need luck. 11 next best very tough again!!
Hard race again 3 has some good figures last two runs but again an awful alley and could be wide without cover. I have a query the 6 at the trip ditto the 2. Thought the 10 needs one. Very hard race, I like the 3 ew but it’s going to need an 11/10 ride.
4 LIGHT FIELD and 9 VIZONE head the market and for good reason, however happy to bet around them as they’ve had every chance their last couple to break maiden status. Of the others 1 EXCLUSIVE MO gets a strong jockey upgrade and maps well while 8 HOPE AS ALWAYS was strong off a torrid run at Cairns last start. 11 BOTOX LADY is the knockout hope with her run better than the form guide reads in Cairns. 1 on top from 8, 11 with 4 and 9 chances.
Again two horses hard in the market I’m happy to be against at their prices. Thought 1 SALESMAN was good enough at his first two starts this prep over unsuitable distances and step up to the mile suits. 8 ODDFELLOW looks to map well and should be in the finish again. 1 SALESMAN on top but 8 ODDFELLOW as well as the favourites 3 NICE RETORT and 5 UP THE RIVER are strong chances.
Best: Race 1 Number 1 EXCLUSIVE MO
Roughie: Race 2 Number 1 SALESMAN
From the Ares Racing Stable
Race 5 – Danwai: drawn wide and will need to jump. However, the horse has travelled well and looks in great shape for today. Third up today and we expect him to run a big race.
Race 7 – Trackman: horror draw. He will go back and try and come over the top of them late. The horse is going great and is worth a small each way bet.
Race 1 – Marinasara: she went pretty average last start, we are looking for a lot of improvement today in a much weaker race.
Race 5 – Oyashio: he likes running on the sand track and we think he will go well today. Claiming 3kg will help him today.